Lightweight
3 Rounds
Clay Guida won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 3, 2022·Orlando, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupClay Guida: WrestlervsScott Holtzman: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Scott Holtzman wins(59.0%)
Actual result: Clay Guida wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Clay Guida enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Clay Guida
Red Corner
VS
Scott Holtzman
Blue Corner
+195
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-230
(70%)
44
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Clay GuidaL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Leonardo Santos · Dec 21L
SUBvs Claudio Puelles · Apr 22L
vs Rafa Garcia · Apr 23L
vs Joaquim Silva · Dec 23L
SUBvs Chase Hooper · Dec 24Scott HoltzmanL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Nik Lentz · Feb 19W
KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Aug 19W
vs Jim Miller · Feb 20L
vs Beneil Dariush · Aug 20L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Apr 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Clay GuidaMetricScott Holtzman
2.63
Strikes / min
4.32
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
3.66
61%
Strike defense
55%
3.10
TDs / 15 min
1.88
66%
Takedown defense
67%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.37Δ 1.03 — meaningful gap+0.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Clay GuidaScott Holtzman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Clay Guida(10 fights)Scott Holtzman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-22.922.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-378.0378.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Clay Guida
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights27
Scott Holtzman
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights13