Lightweight
3 Rounds
Clay Guida won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, January 1, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupClay Guida: WrestlervsTakanori Gomi: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Clay Guida wins(62.9%)
Actual result: Clay Guida wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Takanori Gomi enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Takanori Gomi (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Clay Guida
Red Corner
VS
Takanori Gomi
Blue Corner
-137
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+127
(44%)
44
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Clay GuidaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Claudio Puelles · Apr 22W
vs Scott Holtzman · Dec 22L
vs Rafa Garcia · Apr 23L
vs Joaquim Silva · Dec 23L
SUBvs Chase Hooper · Dec 24Takanori GomiL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Myles Jury · Sep 14L
KOvs Joe Lauzon · Jul 15L
KOvs Jim Miller · Jul 16L
SUBvs Jon Tuck · Jun 17L
KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Sep 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Clay GuidaMetricTakanori Gomi
2.63
Strikes / min
3.81
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
3.52
61%
Strike defense
60%
3.10
TDs / 15 min
1.23
66%
Takedown defense
63%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.37evenly matched on net striking+0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Clay GuidaTakanori Gomi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Clay Guida(10 fights)Takanori Gomi(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+37.0-37.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-6.06.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Clay Guida
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights27
Takanori Gomi
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights13