Featherweight
3 Rounds
Clay Guida won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Friday, April 11, 2014·Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupClay Guida: WrestlervsTatsuya Kawajiri: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Tatsuya Kawajiri wins(51.2%)
Actual result: Clay Guida wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Clay Guida has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Clay Guida
Red Corner
VS
Tatsuya Kawajiri
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
44
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Clay GuidaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Claudio Puelles · Apr 22W
vs Scott Holtzman · Dec 22L
vs Rafa Garcia · Apr 23L
vs Joaquim Silva · Dec 23L
SUBvs Chase Hooper · Dec 24Tatsuya KawajiriL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Sean Soriano · Jan 14W
vs Dennis Siver · Jun 15W
vs Jason Knight · Dec 15L
vs Dennis Bermudez · Feb 16L
vs Cub Swanson · Aug 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Clay GuidaMetricTatsuya Kawajiri
2.63
Strikes / min
2.04
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
2.01
61%
Strike defense
50%
3.10
TDs / 15 min
3.63
66%
Takedown defense
63%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.37evenly matched on net striking+0.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Clay GuidaTatsuya Kawajiri
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Clay Guida(10 fights)Tatsuya Kawajiri(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+12.5-12.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+126.0-126.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.9-1.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Clay Guida
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights27
Tatsuya Kawajiri
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6