Welterweight
3 Rounds
Clay Harvison won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 4, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupClay Harvison: Well-roundedvsJustin Edwards: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Justin Edwards wins(60.4%)
Actual result: Clay Harvison wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Justin Edwards enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Justin Edwards threatens submissions; Clay Harvison has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Clay Harvison has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Clay Harvison has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Clay Harvison
Red Corner
VS
Justin Edwards
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
45
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'10"
187.96 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Clay HarvisonL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Seth Baczynski · Sep 11L
KOvs DaMarques Johnson · Nov 11Justin EdwardsL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs John Maguire · Nov 11W
SUBvs Josh Neer · Oct 12L
KOvs Brandon Thatch · Aug 13L
vs Ramsey Nijem · Jan 14L
SUBvs Joe Proctor · Jun 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Clay HarvisonMetricJustin Edwards
3.29
Strikes / min
2.68
3.91
Strikes absorbed / min
3.32
58%
Strike defense
51%
0.66
TDs / 15 min
2.14
68%
Takedown defense
27%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.62evenly matched on net striking-0.64
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Clay Harvison(3 fights)Justin Edwards(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Clay Harvison
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3
Justin Edwards
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7