Middleweight
3 Rounds
Michal Oleksiejczuk won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 17, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Cody Brundage wins(55.8%)
Actual result: Michal Oleksiejczuk wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cody Brundage enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Michal Oleksiejczuk enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Cody Brundage has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Michal Oleksiejczuk (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Cody Brundage
Red Corner
VS
Michal Oleksiejczuk
Blue Corner
+205
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-245
(71%)
32
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cody BrundageL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Julian Marquez · Mar 25D
vs Mansur Abdul-Malik · Jun 25L
vs Eric McConico · Aug 25L
KOvs Cam Rowston · Jan 26L
vs Donte Johnson · Mar 26Michal OleksiejczukW3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Jun 24L
vs Shara Magomedov · Aug 24W
KOvs Sedriques Dumas · Apr 25W
KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 25W
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cody BrundageMetricMichal Oleksiejczuk
2.26
Strikes / min
5.85
3.02
Strikes absorbed / min
4.50
50%
Strike defense
59%
1.88
TDs / 15 min
1.02
68%
Takedown defense
52%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.76Δ 2.11 — meaningful gap+1.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cody BrundageMichal Oleksiejczuk
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cody Brundage(10 fights)Michal Oleksiejczuk(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-12.412.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Cody Brundage
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights14
Michal Oleksiejczuk
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17