Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Gian Villante won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, November 16, 2013·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCody Donovan: Submission grapplervsGian Villante: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Cody Donovan wins(63.5%)
Actual result: Gian Villante wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gian Villante enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Gian Villante is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Cody Donovan has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Gian Villante has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Gian Villante has 83pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Cody Donovan
Red Corner
VS
Gian Villante
Blue Corner
+310
(24%)
Vegas Odds
-340
(77%)
45
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
187.96 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cody DonovanL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Nick Penner · Dec 12L
KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Aug 13L
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 14Gian VillanteL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ed Herman · Oct 18L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Feb 19L
SUBvs Maurice Greene · Jun 20L
vs Jake Collier · Dec 20L
KOvs Chris Barnett · Nov 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cody DonovanMetricGian Villante
5.61
Strikes / min
4.38
5.44
Strikes absorbed / min
5.47
45%
Strike defense
55%
1.67
TDs / 15 min
0.45
0%
Takedown defense
83%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.17Δ 1.26 — meaningful gap-1.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cody DonovanGian Villante
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cody Donovan(4 fights)Gian Villante(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.4-15.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-112.0112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Cody Donovan
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4
Gian Villante
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights18