Flyweight
3 Rounds
Cody Durden won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 5, 2023·Nashville, Tennessee, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Cody Durden wins(73.5%)
Actual result: Cody Durden wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cody Durden enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jake Hadley has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Cody Durden
Red Corner
VS
Jake Hadley
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
35
Age
29
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'7"
170.18 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cody DurdenL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Matt Schnell · Sep 24L
vs Joshua Van · Dec 24L
KOvs Jose Ochoa · Jun 25L
SUBvs Allan Nascimento · Nov 25L
vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · Mar 26Jake Hadley
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Carlos Candelario · Nov 22W
KOvs Malcolm Gordon · Mar 23L
vs Charles Johnson · May 24W
vs Caolan Loughran · Jul 24L
vs Cameron Smotherman · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cody DurdenMetricJake Hadley
3.24
Strikes / min
3.80
3.94
Strikes absorbed / min
4.16
50%
Strike defense
61%
3.99
TDs / 15 min
0.33
56%
Takedown defense
54%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.70evenly matched on net striking-0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cody DurdenJake Hadley
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cody Durden(10 fights)Jake Hadley(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.4-16.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Cody Durden
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights14
Jake Hadley
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7