Flyweight
3 Rounds
Joshua Van won · U-DEC R3
CD
JV
Cody DurdenvsJoshua Van
UFC Event · Saturday, December 7, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCody Durden: WrestlervsJoshua Van: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Cody Durden wins(61.3%)
Actual result: Joshua Van wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cody Durden enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joshua Van enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Joshua Van has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cody Durden (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Cody Durden
Red Corner
VS
Joshua Van
Blue Corner
+142
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-170
(63%)
35
Age
24
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'5"
170.18 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cody DurdenL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Bruno Silva · Jul 24W
SUBvs Matt Schnell · Sep 24L
KOvs Jose Ochoa · Jun 25L
SUBvs Allan Nascimento · Nov 25L
vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · Mar 26Joshua VanW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Edgar Chairez · Sep 24W
vs Rei Tsuruya · Mar 25W
KOvs Bruno Silva · Jun 25W
vs Brandon Royval · Jun 25W
KOvs Alexandre Pantoja · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cody DurdenMetricJoshua Van
3.24
Strikes / min
8.43
3.94
Strikes absorbed / min
5.82
50%
Strike defense
58%
3.99
TDs / 15 min
0.82
56%
Takedown defense
75%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.70Δ 3.31 — meaningful gap+2.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cody DurdenJoshua Van
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cody Durden(10 fights)Joshua Van(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-13.913.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Cody Durden
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights14
Joshua Van
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights10