Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Cody Garbrandt won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 16, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCody Garbrandt: Well-roundedvsBrian Kelleher: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Cody Garbrandt wins(52.8%)
Actual result: Cody Garbrandt wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brian Kelleher enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Cody Garbrandt has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brian Kelleher (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Cody Garbrandt
Red Corner
VS
Brian Kelleher
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
34
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'8"
Height
5'6"
165.1 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cody Garbrandt
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Kai Kara-France · Dec 21W
vs Trevin Jones · Mar 23L
SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Apr 24L
vs Raoni Barcelos · Jun 25W
vs Xiao Long · Mar 26Brian KelleherL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Domingo Pilarte · Aug 21W
vs Kevin Croom · Jan 22L
SUBvs Umar Nurmagomedov · Mar 22L
SUBvs Mario Bautista · Jun 22L
SUBvs Cody Gibson · Jul 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cody GarbrandtMetricBrian Kelleher
2.79
Strikes / min
3.31
3.66
Strikes absorbed / min
4.59
58%
Strike defense
54%
0.85
TDs / 15 min
1.68
81%
Takedown defense
60%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.87evenly matched on net striking-1.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cody GarbrandtBrian Kelleher
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cody Garbrandt(10 fights)Brian Kelleher(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+34.6-34.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-252.0252.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Cody Garbrandt
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights17
Brian Kelleher
StanceSwitch
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights17