Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Cody Garbrandt won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 20, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCody Garbrandt: Well-roundedvsTakeya Mizugaki: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Cody Garbrandt wins(55.8%)
Actual result: Cody Garbrandt wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cody Garbrandt is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Takeya Mizugaki has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Takeya Mizugaki has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Cody Garbrandt
Red Corner
VS
Takeya Mizugaki
Blue Corner
-525
(84%)
Vegas Odds
+415
(19%)
34
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
165.1 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cody Garbrandt
oldest →latest
W
vs Trevin Jones · Mar 23W
KOvs Brian Kelleher · Dec 23L
SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Apr 24L
vs Raoni Barcelos · Jun 25W
vs Xiao Long · Mar 26Takeya Mizugaki
oldest →latest
W
vs Francisco Rivera · May 14L
KOvs Dominick Cruz · Sep 14L
SUBvs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 15W
vs George Roop · Sep 15L
KOvs Eddie Wineland · Dec 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cody GarbrandtMetricTakeya Mizugaki
2.79
Strikes / min
3.37
3.66
Strikes absorbed / min
3.27
58%
Strike defense
57%
0.85
TDs / 15 min
1.46
81%
Takedown defense
70%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.87evenly matched on net striking+0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cody GarbrandtTakeya Mizugaki
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cody Garbrandt(10 fights)Takeya Mizugaki(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+9.8-9.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-246.0246.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Cody Garbrandt
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights17
Takeya Mizugaki
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14