Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Cody Garbrandt won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 4, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Cody Garbrandt wins(63.6%)
Actual result: Cody Garbrandt wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Trevin Jones enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Trevin Jones is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Cody Garbrandt has lost 57% of fights by KO.
- Cody Garbrandt has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Cody Garbrandt has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Trevin Jones (53.5%).
- Trevin Jones has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Cody Garbrandt
Red Corner
VS
Trevin Jones
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
34
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'7"
165.1 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cody Garbrandt
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Kai Kara-France · Dec 21W
KOvs Brian Kelleher · Dec 23L
SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Apr 24L
vs Raoni Barcelos · Jun 25W
vs Xiao Long · Mar 26Trevin JonesL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Timur Valiev · Aug 20W
KOvs Mario Bautista · Mar 21L
SUBvs Saidyokub Kakhramonov · Aug 21L
vs Javid Basharat · Mar 22L
vs Raoni Barcelos · Oct 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cody GarbrandtMetricTrevin Jones
2.79
Strikes / min
2.13
3.66
Strikes absorbed / min
4.29
58%
Strike defense
39%
0.85
TDs / 15 min
0.62
81%
Takedown defense
60%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.87Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap-2.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cody GarbrandtTrevin Jones
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cody Garbrandt(10 fights)Trevin Jones(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+53.2-53.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+294.0-294.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Cody Garbrandt
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights17
Trevin Jones
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6