Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Cody Garbrandt won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 7, 2026·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCody Garbrandt: Well-roundedvsXiao Long: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Cody Garbrandt wins(55.3%)
Actual result: Cody Garbrandt wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Xiao Long is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Cody Garbrandt has lost 57% of fights by KO.
- Xiao Long has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Cody Garbrandt
Red Corner
VS
Xiao Long
Blue Corner
+138
(42%)
Vegas Odds
—
34
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
165.1 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cody GarbrandtL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Kai Kara-France · Dec 21W
vs Trevin Jones · Mar 23W
KOvs Brian Kelleher · Dec 23L
SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Apr 24L
vs Raoni Barcelos · Jun 25Xiao Long
oldest →latest
L
vs ChangHo Lee · Jun 24W
KOvs Quang Le · Nov 24L
vs SuYoung You · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cody GarbrandtMetricXiao Long
2.79
Strikes / min
5.06
3.66
Strikes absorbed / min
3.85
58%
Strike defense
50%
0.85
TDs / 15 min
0.74
81%
Takedown defense
82%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.87Δ 2.08 — meaningful gap+1.21
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cody GarbrandtXiao Long
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cody Garbrandt(10 fights)Xiao Long(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+49.5-49.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+70.0-70.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Cody Garbrandt
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights17
Xiao Long
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4