Lightweight
3 Rounds
Cody McKenzie won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 4, 2010·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCody McKenzie: WrestlervsAaron Wilkinson: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Cody McKenzie wins(68.6%)
Actual result: Cody McKenzie wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Aaron Wilkinson has 33pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cody McKenzie (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Cody McKenzie
Red Corner
VS
Aaron Wilkinson
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
38
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
183 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cody McKenzie
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Vagner Rocha · Sep 11W
SUBvs Marcus LeVesseur · May 12L
KOvs Chad Mendes · Jul 12W
vs Leonard Garcia · Apr 13L
vs Sam Stout · Dec 13Aaron WilkinsonNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cody McKenzieMetricAaron Wilkinson
1.74
Strikes / min
0.00
2.50
Strikes absorbed / min
0.00
67%
Strike defense
100%
2.50
TDs / 15 min
7.32
14%
Takedown defense
0%
2.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.76evenly matched on net striking0.00
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cody McKenzie(7 fights)Aaron Wilkinson(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Cody McKenzie
StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7
Aaron Wilkinson
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach—
Fights1