Welterweight
3 Rounds
Colby Covington won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 18, 2016·Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Style matchupColby Covington: WrestlervsJonathan Meunier: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Colby Covington wins(63.5%)
Actual result: Colby Covington wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jonathan Meunier has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Meunier (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Colby Covington
Red Corner
VS
Jonathan Meunier
Blue Corner
-235
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'11"
Height
6'3"
182.88 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Colby CovingtonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tyron Woodley · Sep 20L
vs Kamaru Usman · Nov 21W
vs Jorge Masvidal · Mar 22L
vs Leon Edwards · Dec 23L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Dec 24Jonathan Meunier
oldest →latest
W
vs Richard Walsh · Nov 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Colby CovingtonMetricJonathan Meunier
3.81
Strikes / min
3.47
3.09
Strikes absorbed / min
1.43
54%
Strike defense
69%
3.64
TDs / 15 min
0.58
68%
Takedown defense
58%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72Δ 1.32 — meaningful gap+2.04
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Colby CovingtonJonathan Meunier
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Colby Covington(10 fights)Jonathan Meunier(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+37.8-37.8
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.149.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
Colby Covington
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights17
Jonathan Meunier
StanceSwitch
Height75.0"
Reach—
Fights2