Welterweight
5 Rounds
Colby Covington won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, August 3, 2019·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupColby Covington: WrestlervsRobbie Lawler: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Colby Covington wins(65.9%)
Actual result: Colby Covington wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Robbie Lawler (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Colby Covington
Red Corner
VS
Robbie Lawler
Blue Corner
-300
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+250
(29%)
38
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Colby CovingtonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tyron Woodley · Sep 20L
vs Kamaru Usman · Nov 21W
vs Jorge Masvidal · Mar 22L
vs Leon Edwards · Dec 23L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Dec 24Robbie Lawler
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Ben Askren · Mar 19L
SUBvs Neil Magny · Aug 20W
KOvs Nick Diaz · Sep 21L
KOvs Bryan Barberena · Jul 22W
KOvs Niko Price · Jul 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Colby CovingtonMetricRobbie Lawler
3.81
Strikes / min
3.85
3.09
Strikes absorbed / min
4.67
54%
Strike defense
59%
3.64
TDs / 15 min
0.65
68%
Takedown defense
65%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72Δ 1.54 — meaningful gap-0.82
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Colby CovingtonRobbie Lawler
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Colby Covington(10 fights)Robbie Lawler(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+54.1-54.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+266.0-266.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Colby Covington
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights17
Robbie Lawler
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights18