Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Renan Barao won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 28, 2011·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Cole Escovedo wins(50.8%)
Actual result: Renan Barao wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Renan Barao enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Renan Barao has 78pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Cole Escovedo
Red Corner
VS
Renan Barao
Blue Corner
+315
(24%)
Vegas Odds
-345
(78%)
44
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cole EscovedoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Takeya Mizugaki · Sep 11L
vs Alex Caceres · Nov 11Renan BaraoL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Jul 17L
vs Brian Kelleher · Feb 18L
vs Andre Ewell · Sep 18L
KOvs Luke Sanders · Feb 19L
vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Nov 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cole EscovedoMetricRenan Barao
1.77
Strikes / min
3.78
4.32
Strikes absorbed / min
3.90
49%
Strike defense
57%
0.43
TDs / 15 min
1.49
13%
Takedown defense
91%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.55Δ 2.43 — meaningful gap-0.12
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cole Escovedo(3 fights)Renan Barao(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Cole Escovedo
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3
Renan Barao
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights17