Lightweight
3 Rounds
Matt Wiman won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 22, 2011·Killeen, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Matt Wiman wins(60.9%)
Actual result: Matt Wiman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cole Miller enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Matt Wiman enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Matt Wiman has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Cole Miller has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Cole Miller
Red Corner
VS
Matt Wiman
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cole MillerL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Andy Ogle · Oct 13W
SUBvs Sam Sicilia · Jan 14L
vs Max Holloway · Feb 15L
vs Alex Caceres · Jun 16L
vs Mizuto Hirota · Dec 16Matt WimanL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs TJ Grant · Jan 13W
vs Isaac Vallie-Flagg · Nov 14L
KOvs Luis Pena · Jun 19L
vs Joe Solecki · Dec 19L
KOvs Jordan Leavitt · Dec 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cole MillerMetricMatt Wiman
3.00
Strikes / min
3.17
3.88
Strikes absorbed / min
3.57
59%
Strike defense
51%
0.60
TDs / 15 min
2.13
38%
Takedown defense
56%
1.80
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.88evenly matched on net striking-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cole MillerMatt Wiman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cole Miller(10 fights)Matt Wiman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-95.095.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Cole Miller
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights12
Matt Wiman
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights10