Featherweight
3 Rounds
Mizuto Hirota won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 17, 2016·Sacramento, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Cole Miller wins(54.0%)
Actual result: Mizuto Hirota wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mizuto Hirota enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Mizuto Hirota has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Cole Miller has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Cole Miller
Red Corner
VS
Mizuto Hirota
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
42
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'7"
185.42 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cole MillerL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Manvel Gamburyan · Aug 13W
vs Andy Ogle · Oct 13W
SUBvs Sam Sicilia · Jan 14L
vs Max Holloway · Feb 15L
vs Alex Caceres · Jun 16Mizuto HirotaL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Rani Yahya · Mar 13L
vs Rodrigo Damm · Jun 13L
vs Alexander Volkanovski · Jun 17L
vs Ross Pearson · Feb 18L
vs Christos Giagos · Dec 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cole MillerMetricMizuto Hirota
3.00
Strikes / min
3.36
3.88
Strikes absorbed / min
3.50
59%
Strike defense
54%
0.60
TDs / 15 min
1.36
38%
Takedown defense
58%
1.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.88evenly matched on net striking-0.14
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cole MillerMizuto Hirota
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cole Miller(10 fights)Mizuto Hirota(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.5-17.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-1092.01092.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Cole Miller
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights12
Mizuto Hirota
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights6