Welterweight
3 Rounds
Jason Witt won · SUB
UFC Event·Saturday, October 31, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Jason Witt wins(54.9%)
Actual result: Jason Witt wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jason Witt threatens submissions; Cole Williams has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Jason Witt has 29pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jason Witt has 75pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Cole Williams
Red Corner
VS
Jason Witt
Blue Corner
+119
(46%)
Vegas Odds
-148
(60%)
42
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cole Williams
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Claudio Silva · Aug 19Jason WittL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Takashi Sato · Jun 20L
KOvs Matthew Semelsberger · Mar 21W
vs Bryan Barberena · Jul 21L
KOvs Phil Rowe · Feb 22L
KOvs Josh Quinlan · Aug 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cole WilliamsMetricJason Witt
0.31
Strikes / min
2.15
5.34
Strikes absorbed / min
2.54
23%
Strike defense
52%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
6.90
25%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-5.03Δ 4.64 — meaningful gap-0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cole WilliamsJason Witt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cole Williams(2 fights)Jason Witt(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+3.9-3.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+329.0-329.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Cole Williams
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2
Jason Witt
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6