Lightweight
3 Rounds
Diego Ferreira won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 28, 2014·San Antonio, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupColton Smith: WrestlervsDiego Ferreira: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Colton Smith wins(65.4%)
Actual result: Diego Ferreira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Diego Ferreira has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Colton Smith
Red Corner
VS
Diego Ferreira
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-185
(65%)
38
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Colton SmithL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Mike Ricci · Dec 12L
KOvs Robert Whittaker · May 13L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Nov 13Diego FerreiraL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Dec 21W
KOvs Michael Johnson · May 23W
KOvs Mateusz Rebecki · May 24L
vs Grant Dawson · Jan 25L
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Sep 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Colton SmithMetricDiego Ferreira
1.64
Strikes / min
4.70
2.30
Strikes absorbed / min
3.46
51%
Strike defense
55%
4.09
TDs / 15 min
0.82
25%
Takedown defense
57%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.66Δ 1.90 — meaningful gap+1.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Colton SmithDiego Ferreira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Colton Smith(4 fights)Diego Ferreira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-17.617.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.049.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.449.4
Colton Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4
Diego Ferreira
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17