Welterweight
3 Rounds
Robert Whittaker won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 25, 2013·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupColton Smith: WrestlervsRobert Whittaker: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Colton Smith wins(57.1%)
Actual result: Robert Whittaker wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Robert Whittaker has 57pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Colton Smith
Red Corner
VS
Robert Whittaker
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
38
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Colton SmithL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Mike Ricci · Dec 12L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Nov 13L
SUBvs Diego Ferreira · Jun 14Robert WhittakerL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Jul 23W
vs Paulo Costa · Feb 24W
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Jun 24L
SUBvs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 24L
vs Reinier de Ridder · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Colton SmithMetricRobert Whittaker
1.64
Strikes / min
4.39
2.30
Strikes absorbed / min
3.36
51%
Strike defense
59%
4.09
TDs / 15 min
0.73
25%
Takedown defense
82%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.66Δ 1.69 — meaningful gap+1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Colton SmithRobert Whittaker
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Colton Smith(4 fights)Robert Whittaker(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-1.01.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Colton Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4
Robert Whittaker
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights24