Featherweight
5 Rounds
Conor McGregor won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Sunday, January 18, 2015·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupConor McGregor: Pressure fightervsDennis Siver: Elusive striker
The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.
Model Prediction: Conor McGregor wins(78.3%)
Actual result: Conor McGregor wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dennis Siver has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Conor McGregor (53.5%).
- Conor McGregor has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Conor McGregor
Red Corner
VS
Dennis Siver
Blue Corner
-975
(91%)
Vegas Odds
+775
(11%)
37
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'6"
187.96 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Conor McGregorL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Eddie Alvarez · Nov 16L
SUBvs Khabib Nurmagomedov · Oct 18W
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Jan 20L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Jan 21L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Jul 21Dennis Siver
oldest →latest
W
vs Nam Phan · Dec 12L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Jul 13W
vs Charles Rosa · Oct 14L
vs Tatsuya Kawajiri · Jun 15W
vs BJ Penn · Jun 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Conor McGregorMetricDennis Siver
5.32
Strikes / min
3.87
4.66
Strikes absorbed / min
2.67
54%
Strike defense
65%
0.67
TDs / 15 min
0.87
66%
Takedown defense
65%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.66evenly matched on net striking+1.20
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Conor McGregorDennis Siver
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Conor McGregor(10 fights)Dennis Siver(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+4.0-4.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Conor McGregor
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights14
Dennis Siver
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights13