Recent Form Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Conor McGregor L2 streak
oldest → W
KO vs Eddie Alvarez · Nov 16 L
SUB vs Khabib Nurmagomedov · Oct 18 W
KO vs Donald Cerrone · Jan 20 L
KO vs Dustin Poirier · Jan 21 L
KO vs Dustin Poirier · Jul 21 latest Max Holloway
oldest → W
KO vs Chan Sung Jung · Aug 23 W
KO vs Justin Gaethje · Apr 24 L
KO vs Ilia Topuria · Oct 24 W
vs Dustin Poirier · Jul 25 L
vs Charles Oliveira · Mar 26 latest Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
1480 1493 1505 1518 1530 ← older most recent → Conor McGregor (10 fights) Max Holloway (10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating — Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -73.7 | Blue +73.7
Recent Form — Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5 | Blue +0.5
Striker Score — Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.8 | Blue +0.8
Grappler Score — Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0 | Blue -0.0
Layoff — Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +1701.0 | Blue -1701.0
Method Projection Statistical projection based on each fighter's historical finish patterns and the opponent's vulnerability profile. Most likely: KO / TKO .
Conor McGregor wins by KO/TKO 80% of the time.
Limited submission threat from either side.
Both fighters frequently end fights early.