Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Corey Anderson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 5, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCorey Anderson: WrestlervsTom Lawlor: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Corey Anderson wins(65.9%)
Actual result: Corey Anderson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tom Lawlor is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Corey Anderson has lost 80% of fights by KO.
- Corey Anderson has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tom Lawlor (53.5%).
- Corey Anderson has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Corey Anderson
Red Corner
VS
Tom Lawlor
Blue Corner
-250
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+210
(32%)
36
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'0"
200.66 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Corey Anderson
oldest →latest
W
vs Patrick Cummins · Apr 18W
vs Glover Teixeira · Jul 18W
vs Ilir Latifi · Dec 18W
KOvs Johnny Walker · Nov 19L
KOvs Jan Blachowicz · Feb 20Tom LawlorW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Chris Weidman · Nov 11W
KOvs Jason MacDonald · May 12L
vs Francis Carmont · Nov 12W
SUBvs Michael Kuiper · Apr 13W
KOvs Gian Villante · Jul 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Corey AndersonMetricTom Lawlor
4.43
Strikes / min
2.50
2.22
Strikes absorbed / min
2.41
59%
Strike defense
60%
4.89
TDs / 15 min
2.46
83%
Takedown defense
57%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.21Δ 2.12 — meaningful gap+0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Corey AndersonTom Lawlor
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Corey Anderson(10 fights)Tom Lawlor(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+22.1-22.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-105.0105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Corey Anderson
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights15
Tom Lawlor
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights8