Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Cynthia Calvillo won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, February 17, 2019·Phoenix, Arizona, USA, USA
Style matchupCortney Casey: Pressure fightervsCynthia Calvillo: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Cortney Casey wins(57.9%)
Actual result: Cynthia Calvillo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cynthia Calvillo enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Cynthia Calvillo has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Cortney Casey
Red Corner
VS
Cynthia Calvillo
Blue Corner
+295
(25%)
Vegas Odds
-355
(78%)
39
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'4"
170.18 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cortney Casey
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Mara Romero Borella · May 20L
SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Jun 20L
vs JJ Aldrich · Mar 21W
vs Liana Jojua · Nov 21L
vs Antonina Shevchenko · Jul 22Cynthia CalvilloL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Katlyn Chookagian · Nov 20L
KOvs Jessica Andrade · Sep 21L
KOvs Andrea Lee · Nov 21L
vs Nina Nunes · Aug 22L
vs Loopy Godinez · Apr 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cortney CaseyMetricCynthia Calvillo
4.29
Strikes / min
4.41
4.00
Strikes absorbed / min
4.12
55%
Strike defense
64%
0.39
TDs / 15 min
1.80
39%
Takedown defense
77%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.29evenly matched on net striking+0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cortney CaseyCynthia Calvillo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cortney Casey(10 fights)Cynthia Calvillo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-55.555.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
Cortney Casey
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights15
Cynthia Calvillo
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights12