Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
JJ Aldrich won · S-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, March 13, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCortney Casey: Pressure fightervsJJ Aldrich: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Cortney Casey wins(56.3%)
Actual result: JJ Aldrich wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- JJ Aldrich has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors JJ Aldrich (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Cortney Casey
Red Corner
VS
JJ Aldrich
Blue Corner
+122
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-142
(59%)
39
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'5"
170.18 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cortney Casey
oldest →latest
L
vs Cynthia Calvillo · Feb 19W
SUBvs Mara Romero Borella · May 20L
SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Jun 20W
vs Liana Jojua · Nov 21L
vs Antonina Shevchenko · Jul 22JJ Aldrich
oldest →latest
L
vs Ariane da Silva · Mar 23W
KOvs Liang Na · Aug 23W
vs Montana De La Rosa · Oct 23L
vs Veronica Hardy · May 24W
vs Andrea Lee · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cortney CaseyMetricJJ Aldrich
4.29
Strikes / min
3.92
4.00
Strikes absorbed / min
4.34
55%
Strike defense
61%
0.39
TDs / 15 min
0.70
39%
Takedown defense
67%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.29evenly matched on net striking-0.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cortney CaseyJJ Aldrich
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cortney Casey(10 fights)JJ Aldrich(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-36.336.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-154.0154.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Cortney Casey
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights15
JJ Aldrich
StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights16