Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Cortney Casey won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 13, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCortney Casey: Pressure fightervsLiana Jojua: Submission grappler
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Cortney Casey wins(57.9%)
Actual result: Cortney Casey wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cortney Casey enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Cortney Casey has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Cortney Casey
Red Corner
VS
Liana Jojua
Blue Corner
-365
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+280
(26%)
39
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'4"
170.18 cm
Reach
157.48 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cortney CaseyL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Cynthia Calvillo · Feb 19W
SUBvs Mara Romero Borella · May 20L
SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Jun 20L
vs JJ Aldrich · Mar 21L
vs Antonina Shevchenko · Jul 22Liana Jojua
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Sarah Moras · Sep 19W
SUBvs Diana Belbita · Jul 20L
KOvs Miranda Maverick · Oct 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cortney CaseyMetricLiana Jojua
4.29
Strikes / min
2.42
4.00
Strikes absorbed / min
5.32
55%
Strike defense
54%
0.39
TDs / 15 min
1.71
39%
Takedown defense
50%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.29Δ 3.19 — meaningful gap-2.90
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cortney CaseyLiana Jojua
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cortney Casey(10 fights)Liana Jojua(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-18.818.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-140.0140.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.2-2.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Cortney Casey
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights15
Liana Jojua
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights4