Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Cortney Casey won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 16, 2020·Jacksonville, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupCortney Casey: Pressure fightervsMara Romero Borella: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Cortney Casey wins(57.6%)
Actual result: Cortney Casey wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mara Romero Borella has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mara Romero Borella has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Cortney Casey
Red Corner
VS
Mara Romero Borella
Blue Corner
-185
(65%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
170.18 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cortney Casey
oldest →latest
L
vs Cynthia Calvillo · Feb 19L
SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Jun 20L
vs JJ Aldrich · Mar 21W
vs Liana Jojua · Nov 21L
vs Antonina Shevchenko · Jul 22Mara Romero Borella
oldest →latest
W
vs Taila Santos · Feb 19L
KOvs Lauren Murphy · Aug 19L
vs Montana De La Rosa · Feb 20W
vs Miranda Maverick · Jun 20L
SUBvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Sep 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cortney CaseyMetricMara Romero Borella
4.29
Strikes / min
2.54
4.00
Strikes absorbed / min
2.48
55%
Strike defense
71%
0.39
TDs / 15 min
1.83
39%
Takedown defense
66%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.29evenly matched on net striking+0.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cortney CaseyMara Romero Borella
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cortney Casey(10 fights)Mara Romero Borella(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-7.87.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+363.0-363.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.3-2.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Cortney Casey
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights15
Mara Romero Borella
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights8