Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Cory Sandhagen won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 19, 2019·Brooklyn, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupCory Sandhagen: Well-roundedvsMario Bautista: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Mario Bautista wins(50.7%)
Actual result: Cory Sandhagen wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Cory Sandhagen
Red Corner
VS
Mario Bautista
Blue Corner
-525
(84%)
Vegas Odds
+415
(19%)
34
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Switch
5'11"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cory Sandhagen
oldest →latest
W
vs Marlon Vera · Mar 23W
vs Rob Font · Aug 23L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Aug 24W
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 25L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Oct 25Mario Bautista
oldest →latest
W
vs Ricky Simon · Jan 24W
vs Jose Aldo · Oct 24W
vs Patchy Mix · Jun 25L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Oct 25W
SUBvs Vinicius Oliveira · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cory SandhagenMetricMario Bautista
4.86
Strikes / min
5.30
3.47
Strikes absorbed / min
3.98
56%
Strike defense
54%
1.15
TDs / 15 min
1.91
56%
Takedown defense
55%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39evenly matched on net striking+1.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cory SandhagenMario Bautista
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cory Sandhagen(10 fights)Mario Bautista(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+33.4-33.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.447.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Cory Sandhagen
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights16
Mario Bautista
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights14