Recent Form Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cory Sandhagen
oldest → L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Aug 24 W
KO vs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 25 L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Oct 25 latest Mario Bautista
oldest → L
vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Oct 25 W
SUB vs Vinicius Oliveira · Feb 26 latest Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
1490 1505 1520 1535 1550 ← older most recent → Cory Sandhagen (10 fights) Mario Bautista (10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating — Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -11.6 | Blue +11.6
Recent Form — Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6 | Blue +0.6
Striker Score — Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7 | Blue -0.7
Grappler Score — Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1 | Blue +0.1
Layoff — Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +126.0 | Blue -126.0
Method Projection Statistical projection based on each fighter's historical finish patterns and the opponent's vulnerability profile. Most likely: Submission .
Cory Sandhagen wins by KO/TKO 55% of the time.
Mario Bautista wins by submission 36% of the time.
Both fighters frequently end fights early.