Bantamweight
5 Rounds
Umar Nurmagomedov won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, August 3, 2024·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupCory Sandhagen: Well-roundedvsUmar Nurmagomedov: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Umar Nurmagomedov wins(53.0%)
Actual result: Umar Nurmagomedov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Umar Nurmagomedov has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cory Sandhagen (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Cory Sandhagen
Red Corner
VS
Umar Nurmagomedov
Blue Corner
+280
(26%)
Vegas Odds
-395
(80%)
34
Age
30
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cory Sandhagen
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Song Yadong · Sep 22W
vs Marlon Vera · Mar 23W
vs Rob Font · Aug 23W
KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 25L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Oct 25Umar NurmagomedovW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Raoni Barcelos · Jan 23W
vs Bekzat Almakhan · Mar 24L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Jan 25W
vs Mario Bautista · Oct 25W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cory SandhagenMetricUmar Nurmagomedov
4.86
Strikes / min
3.86
3.47
Strikes absorbed / min
1.86
56%
Strike defense
61%
1.15
TDs / 15 min
4.03
56%
Takedown defense
79%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.39evenly matched on net striking+2.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cory SandhagenUmar Nurmagomedov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cory Sandhagen(10 fights)Umar Nurmagomedov(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+41.4-41.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+210.0-210.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Cory Sandhagen
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights16
Umar Nurmagomedov
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights9