Welterweight
3 Rounds
Court McGee won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 12, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Court McGee wins(57.0%)
Actual result: Court McGee wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Court McGee has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marcio Alexandre Junior (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Court McGee
Red Corner
VS
Marcio Alexandre Junior
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
41
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Court McGee
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 22L
KOvs Matt Brown · May 23L
vs Alex Morono · Apr 24W
SUBvs Tim Means · Oct 24L
vs Michael Chiesa · Jun 25Marcio Alexandre JuniorL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Warlley Alves · May 14L
vs Tim Means · Dec 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Court McGeeMetricMarcio Alexandre Junior
4.50
Strikes / min
1.61
3.65
Strikes absorbed / min
2.89
60%
Strike defense
42%
1.78
TDs / 15 min
0.35
70%
Takedown defense
66%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.85Δ 2.13 — meaningful gap-1.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Court McGeeMarcio Alexandre Junior
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Court McGee(10 fights)Marcio Alexandre Junior(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+67.4-67.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+371.0-371.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.6-2.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Court McGee
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights24
Marcio Alexandre Junior
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights3