Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Cristian Quinonez won · U-DEC R3
CQ
KM
Cristian QuinonezvsKris Moutinho
UFC Event · Saturday, February 28, 2026Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico, Mexico
Style matchupCristian Quinonez: WrestlervsKris Moutinho: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Cristian Quinonez wins(69.3%)
Actual result: Cristian Quinonez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kris Moutinho enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Cristian Quinonez is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Kris Moutinho has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Cristian Quinonez has 26pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Cristian Quinonez has 55pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kris Moutinho (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Cristian Quinonez
Red Corner
VS
Kris Moutinho
Blue Corner
-560
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+420
(19%)
30
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cristian QuinonezL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Khalid Taha · Sep 22L
SUBvs Kyung Ho Kang · Jun 23L
SUBvs Raoni Barcelos · Feb 24Kris MoutinhoL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Jul 21L
KOvs Guido Cannetti · Mar 22L
KOvs Malcolm Wellmaker · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cristian QuinonezMetricKris Moutinho
3.67
Strikes / min
3.35
3.71
Strikes absorbed / min
9.36
56%
Strike defense
30%
3.14
TDs / 15 min
0.00
85%
Takedown defense
30%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.04Δ 5.97 — meaningful gap-6.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cristian QuinonezKris Moutinho
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cristian Quinonez(4 fights)Kris Moutinho(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+30.7-30.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+476.0-476.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Cristian Quinonez
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4
Kris Moutinho
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4