Lightweight
3 Rounds
Cristiano Marcello won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 13, 2012·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Reza Madadi wins(55.8%)
Actual result: Cristiano Marcello wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cristiano Marcello enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Reza Madadi has 69pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Cristiano Marcello
Red Corner
VS
Reza Madadi
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-145
(59%)
48
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cristiano MarcelloL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Sam Sicilia · Jun 12L
vs Kazuki Tokudome · Mar 13L
vs Joe Proctor · Feb 14Reza MadadiL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Michael Johnson · Apr 13L
vs Norman Parke · Oct 15W
KOvs Yan Cabral · May 16L
vs Joe Duffy · Mar 17L
vs Joaquim Silva · May 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cristiano MarcelloMetricReza Madadi
2.56
Strikes / min
2.51
3.61
Strikes absorbed / min
3.31
58%
Strike defense
66%
0.44
TDs / 15 min
3.17
20%
Takedown defense
89%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.05evenly matched on net striking-0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cristiano MarcelloReza Madadi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cristiano Marcello(4 fights)Reza Madadi(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-37.037.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-48.048.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-2.02.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Cristiano Marcello
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4
Reza Madadi
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7