Lightweight
3 Rounds
Sam Sicilia won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Friday, June 1, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Cristiano Marcello wins(53.1%)
Actual result: Sam Sicilia wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sam Sicilia enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Sam Sicilia has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Cristiano Marcello has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Cristiano Marcello
Red Corner
VS
Sam Sicilia
Blue Corner
+177
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-192
(66%)
48
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'8"
182.88 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cristiano MarcelloL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Reza Madadi · Oct 12L
vs Kazuki Tokudome · Mar 13L
vs Joe Proctor · Feb 14Sam SiciliaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Akira Corassani · Jan 15W
vs Yaotzin Meza · Jul 15L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Nov 15L
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Sep 16L
vs Gavin Tucker · Feb 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cristiano MarcelloMetricSam Sicilia
2.56
Strikes / min
2.46
3.61
Strikes absorbed / min
3.55
58%
Strike defense
59%
0.44
TDs / 15 min
1.45
20%
Takedown defense
70%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.05evenly matched on net striking-1.09
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cristiano Marcello(4 fights)Sam Sicilia(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Cristiano Marcello
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4
Sam Sicilia
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights12