Featherweight
3 Rounds
Cub Swanson won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 14, 2024·Tampa, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupCub Swanson: Pressure fightervsBilly Quarantillo: Submission grappler
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Cub Swanson wins(59.0%)
Actual result: Cub Swanson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cub Swanson has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Cub Swanson
Red Corner
VS
Billy Quarantillo
Blue Corner
+124
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-148
(60%)
42
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cub Swanson
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Giga Chikadze · May 21W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Dec 21L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 22W
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Aug 23L
vs Andre Fili · Jun 24Billy Quarantillo
oldest →latest
L
vs Shane Burgos · Nov 21W
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Dec 22L
KOvs Edson Barboza · Apr 23W
vs Damon Jackson · Aug 23L
SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Mar 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cub SwansonMetricBilly Quarantillo
4.84
Strikes / min
7.44
3.99
Strikes absorbed / min
5.83
59%
Strike defense
42%
1.00
TDs / 15 min
1.47
63%
Takedown defense
61%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.85evenly matched on net striking+1.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cub SwansonBilly Quarantillo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cub Swanson(10 fights)Billy Quarantillo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+21.8-21.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-98.098.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.4-1.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Cub Swanson
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights25
Billy Quarantillo
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11