Featherweight
3 Rounds
Cub Swanson won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, September 22, 2012·Toronto, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Style matchupCub Swanson: Pressure fightervsCharles Oliveira: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Cub Swanson wins(62.5%)
Actual result: Cub Swanson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Charles Oliveira threatens submissions; Cub Swanson has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Cub Swanson has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Charles Oliveira has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Cub Swanson
Red Corner
VS
Charles Oliveira
Blue Corner
+215
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-235
(70%)
42
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cub Swanson
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Dec 21L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 22W
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Aug 23L
vs Andre Fili · Jun 24W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Dec 24Charles OliveiraW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Apr 24W
vs Michael Chandler · Nov 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Jun 25W
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Oct 25W
vs Max Holloway · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cub SwansonMetricCharles Oliveira
4.84
Strikes / min
3.23
3.99
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
59%
Strike defense
48%
1.00
TDs / 15 min
2.29
63%
Takedown defense
54%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
2.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.85evenly matched on net striking+0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cub SwansonCharles Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cub Swanson(10 fights)Charles Oliveira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.316.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Cub Swanson
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights25
Charles Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights36