Featherweight
3 Rounds
Cub Swanson won · KO/TKO
UFC Event·Saturday, December 12, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCub Swanson: Pressure fightervsDaniel Pineda: Submission grappler
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Cub Swanson wins(60.7%)
Actual result: Cub Swanson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Pineda enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Daniel Pineda threatens submissions; Cub Swanson has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Cub Swanson has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Cub Swanson
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Pineda
Blue Corner
+132
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-152
(60%)
42
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cub Swanson
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Dec 21L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 22W
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Aug 23L
vs Andre Fili · Jun 24W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Dec 24Daniel PinedaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Herbert Burns · Aug 20W
SUBvs Tucker Lutz · Mar 23L
vs Alex Caceres · Jun 23L
vs Nathaniel Wood · Jul 24L
vs Darren Elkins · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cub SwansonMetricDaniel Pineda
4.84
Strikes / min
2.85
3.99
Strikes absorbed / min
3.26
59%
Strike defense
45%
1.00
TDs / 15 min
1.42
63%
Takedown defense
54%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.85Δ 1.26 — meaningful gap-0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cub SwansonDaniel Pineda
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cub Swanson(10 fights)Daniel Pineda(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+52.6-52.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+308.0-308.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Cub Swanson
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights25
Daniel Pineda
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights13