Featherweight
3 Rounds
Cub Swanson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, February 16, 2013·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupCub Swanson: Pressure fightervsDustin Poirier: Submission grappler
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Cub Swanson wins(56.4%)
Actual result: Cub Swanson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dustin Poirier (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Cub Swanson
Red Corner
VS
Dustin Poirier
Blue Corner
+100
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
42
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cub Swanson
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Dec 21L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 22W
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Aug 23L
vs Andre Fili · Jun 24W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Dec 24Dustin PoirierL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Michael Chandler · Nov 22L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Jul 23W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Mar 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jun 24L
vs Max Holloway · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cub SwansonMetricDustin Poirier
4.84
Strikes / min
5.24
3.99
Strikes absorbed / min
4.57
59%
Strike defense
52%
1.00
TDs / 15 min
1.15
63%
Takedown defense
64%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.85evenly matched on net striking+0.67
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cub SwansonDustin Poirier
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cub Swanson(10 fights)Dustin Poirier(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-23.723.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.81.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Cub Swanson
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights25
Dustin Poirier
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights31