Featherweight
3 Rounds
Cub Swanson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 16, 2016·Tampa, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupCub Swanson: Pressure fightervsHacran Dias: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Cub Swanson wins(78.1%)
Actual result: Cub Swanson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Cub Swanson
Red Corner
VS
Hacran Dias
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
42
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cub Swanson
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Dec 21L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 22W
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Aug 23L
vs Andre Fili · Jun 24W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Dec 24Hacran DiasL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ricardo Lamas · Jun 14W
vs Darren Elkins · Dec 14W
vs Levan Makashvili · Jun 15L
vs Andre Fili · Oct 16L
vs Jared Gordon · Oct 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cub SwansonMetricHacran Dias
4.84
Strikes / min
2.08
3.99
Strikes absorbed / min
3.31
59%
Strike defense
55%
1.00
TDs / 15 min
2.50
63%
Takedown defense
76%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.85Δ 2.08 — meaningful gap-1.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cub SwansonHacran Dias
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cub Swanson(10 fights)Hacran Dias(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+23.7-23.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+70.0-70.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Cub Swanson
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights25
Hacran Dias
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights8