Featherweight
3 Rounds
Cub Swanson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 12, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCub Swanson: Pressure fightervsHakeem Dawodu: Striker
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Cub Swanson wins(75.8%)
Actual result: Cub Swanson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Cub Swanson
Red Corner
VS
Hakeem Dawodu
Blue Corner
+245
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-305
(75%)
42
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cub Swanson
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Giga Chikadze · May 21W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Dec 21L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 22L
vs Andre Fili · Jun 24W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Dec 24Hakeem Dawodu
oldest →latest
W
vs Julio Arce · Nov 19W
vs Zubaira Tukhugov · Sep 20L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jun 21W
vs Michael Trizano · Feb 22L
vs Julian Erosa · Sep 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cub SwansonMetricHakeem Dawodu
4.84
Strikes / min
5.45
3.99
Strikes absorbed / min
3.37
59%
Strike defense
56%
1.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
63%
Takedown defense
65%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.85Δ 1.23 — meaningful gap+2.08
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cub SwansonHakeem Dawodu
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cub Swanson(10 fights)Hakeem Dawodu(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+6.8-6.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Cub Swanson
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights25
Hakeem Dawodu
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights10