Featherweight
3 Rounds
Max Holloway won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 18, 2015·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupCub Swanson: Pressure fightervsMax Holloway: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Cub Swanson wins(51.4%)
Actual result: Max Holloway wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Max Holloway has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Cub Swanson
Red Corner
VS
Max Holloway
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
42
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cub Swanson
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Dec 21L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 22W
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Aug 23L
vs Andre Fili · Jun 24W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Dec 24Max Holloway
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Aug 23W
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Apr 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Oct 24W
vs Dustin Poirier · Jul 25L
vs Charles Oliveira · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cub SwansonMetricMax Holloway
4.84
Strikes / min
6.91
3.99
Strikes absorbed / min
4.61
59%
Strike defense
58%
1.00
TDs / 15 min
0.23
63%
Takedown defense
81%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.85Δ 1.45 — meaningful gap+2.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cub SwansonMax Holloway
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cub Swanson(10 fights)Max Holloway(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-11.911.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.51.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Cub Swanson
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights25
Max Holloway
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights32