Featherweight
3 Rounds
Renato Moicano won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 4, 2018·Los Angeles, California, USA, USA
Style matchupCub Swanson: Pressure fightervsRenato Moicano: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Cub Swanson wins(53.1%)
Actual result: Renato Moicano wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Renato Moicano threatens submissions; Cub Swanson has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Tale of the Tape
Cub Swanson
Red Corner
VS
Renato Moicano
Blue Corner
+250
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-300
(75%)
42
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cub Swanson
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Dec 21L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 22W
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Aug 23L
vs Andre Fili · Jun 24W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Dec 24Renato MoicanoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Drew Dober · Feb 24W
KOvs Jalin Turner · Apr 24W
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Sep 24L
SUBvs Islam Makhachev · Jan 25L
vs Beneil Dariush · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cub SwansonMetricRenato Moicano
4.84
Strikes / min
4.10
3.99
Strikes absorbed / min
3.55
59%
Strike defense
59%
1.00
TDs / 15 min
1.68
63%
Takedown defense
64%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.85evenly matched on net striking+0.55
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cub SwansonRenato Moicano
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cub Swanson(10 fights)Renato Moicano(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+22.1-22.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Cub Swanson
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights25
Renato Moicano
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20