Featherweight
3 Rounds
Cub Swanson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 6, 2016·Salt Lake City, Utah, USA, USA
Style matchupCub Swanson: Pressure fightervsTatsuya Kawajiri: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Cub Swanson wins(61.5%)
Actual result: Cub Swanson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Cub Swanson
Red Corner
VS
Tatsuya Kawajiri
Blue Corner
-330
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+270
(27%)
42
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cub Swanson
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Dec 21L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 22W
vs Hakeem Dawodu · Aug 23L
vs Andre Fili · Jun 24W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Dec 24Tatsuya Kawajiri
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Sean Soriano · Jan 14L
vs Clay Guida · Apr 14W
vs Dennis Siver · Jun 15W
vs Jason Knight · Dec 15L
vs Dennis Bermudez · Feb 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cub SwansonMetricTatsuya Kawajiri
4.84
Strikes / min
2.04
3.99
Strikes absorbed / min
2.01
59%
Strike defense
50%
1.00
TDs / 15 min
3.63
63%
Takedown defense
63%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.85evenly matched on net striking+0.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Cub SwansonTatsuya Kawajiri
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cub Swanson(10 fights)Tatsuya Kawajiri(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+44.8-44.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-55.055.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Cub Swanson
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights25
Tatsuya Kawajiri
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6