Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Francis Ngannou won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 24, 2018·Beijing, China, China
Model Prediction: Curtis Blaydes wins(61.9%)
Actual result: Francis Ngannou wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francis Ngannou enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Francis Ngannou is a KO finisher (83% of wins). Curtis Blaydes has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Curtis Blaydes has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Francis Ngannou has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Curtis Blaydes
Red Corner
VS
Francis Ngannou
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
35
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
203.2 cm
Reach
210.82 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Curtis Blaydes
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 22L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Apr 23W
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Mar 24L
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 24W
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Jun 25Francis NgannouW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Cain Velasquez · Feb 19W
KOvs Junior Dos Santos · Jun 19W
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · May 20W
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Mar 21W
vs Ciryl Gane · Jan 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Curtis BlaydesMetricFrancis Ngannou
4.18
Strikes / min
2.33
2.76
Strikes absorbed / min
2.16
53%
Strike defense
41%
5.12
TDs / 15 min
0.76
35%
Takedown defense
71%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.42Δ 1.25 — meaningful gap+0.17
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Curtis BlaydesFrancis Ngannou
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Curtis Blaydes(10 fights)Francis Ngannou(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+4.7-4.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Curtis Blaydes
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19
Francis Ngannou
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach83.0"
Fights14