Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Curtis Blaydes won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, March 9, 2024·Miami, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupCurtis Blaydes: WrestlervsJailton Almeida: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Jailton Almeida wins(52.9%)
Actual result: Curtis Blaydes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Curtis Blaydes has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jailton Almeida has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Curtis Blaydes
Red Corner
VS
Jailton Almeida
Blue Corner
+114
(47%)
Vegas Odds
-135
(57%)
35
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'3"
203.2 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Curtis Blaydes
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Mar 22W
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 22L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Apr 23L
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 24W
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Jun 25Jailton AlmeidaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Derrick Lewis · Nov 23W
SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Jun 24W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Jan 25L
vs Alexander Volkov · Oct 25L
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Curtis BlaydesMetricJailton Almeida
4.18
Strikes / min
2.23
2.76
Strikes absorbed / min
1.30
53%
Strike defense
43%
5.12
TDs / 15 min
5.64
35%
Takedown defense
60%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.42evenly matched on net striking+0.93
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Curtis BlaydesJailton Almeida
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Curtis Blaydes(10 fights)Jailton Almeida(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.5-18.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+196.0-196.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
Curtis Blaydes
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19
Jailton Almeida
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights11