Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Curtis Blaydes won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 25, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupCurtis Blaydes: WrestlervsJairzinho Rozenstruik: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Curtis Blaydes wins(66.9%)
Actual result: Curtis Blaydes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jairzinho Rozenstruik is a KO finisher (89% of wins). Curtis Blaydes has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Jairzinho Rozenstruik has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Curtis Blaydes
Red Corner
VS
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Blue Corner
-380
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+290
(26%)
35
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'2"
203.2 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Curtis Blaydes
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 22L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Apr 23W
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Mar 24L
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 24W
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Jun 25Jairzinho Rozenstruik
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Dec 22L
SUBvs Jailton Almeida · May 23W
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Mar 24W
vs Tai Tuivasa · Aug 24L
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Feb 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Curtis BlaydesMetricJairzinho Rozenstruik
4.18
Strikes / min
3.48
2.76
Strikes absorbed / min
2.63
53%
Strike defense
52%
5.12
TDs / 15 min
0.00
35%
Takedown defense
72%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.42evenly matched on net striking+0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Curtis BlaydesJairzinho Rozenstruik
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Curtis Blaydes(10 fights)Jairzinho Rozenstruik(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+27.5-27.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+105.0-105.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Curtis Blaydes
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15