Heavyweight
5 Rounds
Curtis Blaydes won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, January 25, 2020·Raleigh, North Carolina, USA, USA
Style matchupCurtis Blaydes: WrestlervsJunior Dos Santos: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Curtis Blaydes wins(67.7%)
Actual result: Curtis Blaydes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Junior Dos Santos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Curtis Blaydes is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Junior Dos Santos has lost 88% of fights by KO.
- Junior Dos Santos is a KO finisher (55% of wins). Curtis Blaydes has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Junior Dos Santos has 46pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Tale of the Tape
Curtis Blaydes
Red Corner
VS
Junior Dos Santos
Blue Corner
-280
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+240
(29%)
35
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
203.2 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Curtis Blaydes
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 22L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Apr 23W
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Mar 24L
KOvs Tom Aspinall · Jul 24W
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Jun 25Junior Dos SantosL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Dec 18W
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Mar 19L
KOvs Francis Ngannou · Jun 19L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Aug 20L
KOvs Ciryl Gane · Dec 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Curtis BlaydesMetricJunior Dos Santos
4.18
Strikes / min
4.49
2.76
Strikes absorbed / min
3.33
53%
Strike defense
56%
5.12
TDs / 15 min
0.30
35%
Takedown defense
81%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.42evenly matched on net striking+1.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Curtis BlaydesJunior Dos Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Curtis Blaydes(10 fights)Junior Dos Santos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-4.24.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-70.070.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Curtis Blaydes
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19
Junior Dos Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights19