Welterweight
3 Rounds
Belal Muhammad won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 13, 2019·Atlanta, Georgia, USA, USA
Style matchupCurtis Millender: Elusive strikervsBelal Muhammad: Wrestler
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Belal Muhammad wins(57.0%)
Actual result: Belal Muhammad wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Belal Muhammad has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Curtis Millender has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Curtis Millender
Red Corner
VS
Belal Muhammad
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
38
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'11"
193.04 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Curtis Millender
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Thiago Alves · Feb 18W
vs Max Griffin · Jul 18W
vs Siyar Bahadurzada · Dec 18L
SUBvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Mar 19Belal MuhammadL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Sean Brady · Oct 22W
vs Gilbert Burns · May 23W
vs Leon Edwards · Jul 24L
vs Jack Della Maddalena · May 25L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Curtis MillenderMetricBelal Muhammad
3.86
Strikes / min
4.43
2.95
Strikes absorbed / min
3.82
61%
Strike defense
55%
0.43
TDs / 15 min
2.14
57%
Takedown defense
90%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.91evenly matched on net striking+0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Curtis MillenderBelal Muhammad
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Curtis Millender(5 fights)Belal Muhammad(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-3.13.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-49.049.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Curtis Millender
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights5
Belal Muhammad
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20