Welterweight
3 Rounds
Curtis Millender won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 29, 2018·Los Angeles, California, USA, USA
Style matchupCurtis Millender: Elusive strikervsSiyar Bahadurzada: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.
Model Prediction: Curtis Millender wins(54.7%)
Actual result: Curtis Millender wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Curtis Millender has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Curtis Millender
Red Corner
VS
Siyar Bahadurzada
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
38
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'11"
193.04 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Curtis MillenderL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Thiago Alves · Feb 18W
vs Max Griffin · Jul 18L
SUBvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Mar 19L
vs Belal Muhammad · Apr 19Siyar Bahadurzada
oldest →latest
L
vs John Howard · Dec 13W
SUBvs Brandon Thatch · Mar 16W
KOvs Rob Wilkinson · Sep 17W
KOvs Luan Chagas · Apr 18L
vs Ismail Naurdiev · Sep 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Curtis MillenderMetricSiyar Bahadurzada
3.86
Strikes / min
2.91
2.95
Strikes absorbed / min
3.23
61%
Strike defense
49%
0.43
TDs / 15 min
1.32
57%
Takedown defense
62%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.91Δ 1.23 — meaningful gap-0.32
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Curtis MillenderSiyar Bahadurzada
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Curtis Millender(5 fights)Siyar Bahadurzada(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-77.077.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Curtis Millender
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights5
Siyar Bahadurzada
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8